Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Moritz B.
33'
33'
Ugondu O.
57'
57'
Kosak C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erfurt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erfurt lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
- Win probability leans Erfurt's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 16%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erfurt | Eilenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.69 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Erfurt
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Erfurt
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erfurt Compare
Top Goalscorer Moritz B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ugondu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Eilenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kosak C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fischer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erfurt 66 / 100
Eilenburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erfurt Eilenburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erfurt scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Eilenburg conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Erfurt stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Erfurt VS Eilenburg
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Erfurt
(Home) 19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
15 Aug
Erfurt
4 : 1 Magdeburg II
05 Aug
Erfurt
6 : 0 SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 4
Eilenburg
(Away) 12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2 1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3 Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1 Dresden II
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5 Eilenburg
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3 Eilenburg
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5 Eilenburg
08 May
Chemie Leipzig
3 : 2 Eilenburg
25 Apr
Erfurt
3 : 3 Eilenburg
11 Apr
Luckenwalde
1 : 1 Eilenburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 65:30 | 72 |
| 2 | Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 65:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 68:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:52 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:55 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 61:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 67:65 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46:60 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:45 | 38 |
| 16 | Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35:68 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 14 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
