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Erfurt vs Eilenburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Moritz B.
33' Event
Ugondu O. C.
57' Event
Kosak C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erfurt
6%
Draws
4%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erfurt lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
  • Win probability leans Erfurt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 18%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Eilenburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 3.25 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Erfurt
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Erfurt
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Eilenburg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Moritz B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugondu O. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Eilenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosak C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Eilenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Eilenburg conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Erfurt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS Eilenburg
3.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.43
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
24 Jul
Erfurt
4 : 1
BFC Dynamo
18 Jul
Erfurt
1 : 0
Kassel
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
10 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 0
Nurnberg II
05 Jul
Union Muhlhausen
1 : 8
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

Eilenburg

(Away)
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4
Babelsberg
16 May
Eilenburg
0 : 5
Hallescher
08 May
Chemie Leipzig
3 : 2
Eilenburg
02 May
Eilenburg
0 : 6
Greifswalder FC
25 Apr
Erfurt
3 : 3
Eilenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)