Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt vs Jena II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
Sun, May 29, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erfurt host Jena II in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Erfurt at 2.8 goals for, 1.2 against; Jena II at 1.96 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Erfurt have won 2 to Jena II's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 29, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.19) point toward Erfurt. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Erfurt
20%
Draws
17%
Jena II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Erfurt have won more games recently than Jena II.
  • Erfurt are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
Jena II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Jena II
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.8 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt vs Jena II
0:0
Aug 31, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Erfurt
1:2
May 30, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt vs Jena II
0:0
Sep 23, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Erfurt
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Jena II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Jena II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erfurt has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Jena II conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

Jena II

(Away)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 29 25 3 1 103:16 78
2 Krieschow 29 17 7 5 72:34 58
3 Plauen 29 17 7 5 61:25 58
4 Bautzen 30 16 3 11 74:59 51
5 Sandersdorf 30 13 7 10 48:33 46
6 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 12 4 13 43:47 40
7 Einheit Wernigerode 29 11 7 11 49:54 40
8 Halle 30 10 11 9 52:46 41
9 Einheit Rudolstadt 31 10 11 10 42:51 41
10 Bischofswerdaer 30 9 11 10 45:48 38
11 An der Fahner Hohe 30 11 4 15 32:44 37
12 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 8 11 11 41:62 35
13 Grimma 29 9 7 13 45:48 34
14 Wacker Nordhausen 30 6 11 13 33:55 29
15 Inter Leipzig 29 8 4 17 43:76 28
16 Arnstadt 29 4 9 16 31:73 21
17 FSV Martinroda 30 4 7 19 34:73 19
18 Jena II 29 11 6 12 0:0 0
19 FC Merseburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)