Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt vs Mainz II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
52' Event
90' Event
Videira J.

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erfurt
6%
Draws
4%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erfurt have won more games recently than Mainz II.
  • Model gives Erfurt a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Mainz II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 3.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Mainz II
0:3
Jan 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Erfurt
0:0
Mar 25, 2017 3. Liga
Erfurt vs Mainz II
0:0
Oct 2, 2016 3. Liga
Mainz II vs Erfurt
1:1
Mar 2, 2016 3. Liga
Mainz II vs Erfurt
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Videira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Mainz II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erfurt scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mainz II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Erfurt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS Mainz II
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
18 Jul
Erfurt
1 : 0
Kassel
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
10 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 0
Nurnberg II
05 Jul
Union Muhlhausen
1 : 8
Erfurt
04 Jul
Erfurt
5 : 1
Hannover II
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Mainz II

(Away)
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
08 Jul
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
0 : 2
Mainz II
04 Jul
Mainz II
1 : 0
Progres Niedercorn
16 May
Mainz II
0 : 4
Freiburg II
09 May
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 1
Mainz II
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