Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt vs Mainz II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
52' Event
90' Event
Videira J.

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Erfurt
20%
Draws
28%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Erfurt have won more games recently than Mainz II.
  • Model gives Erfurt a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Mainz II
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Mainz II
0:3
Jan 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Erfurt
0:0
Mar 25, 2017 3. Liga
Erfurt vs Mainz II
0:0
Oct 2, 2016 3. Liga
Mainz II vs Erfurt
1:1
Mar 2, 2016 3. Liga
Mainz II vs Erfurt
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Videira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Mainz II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erfurt scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Erfurt stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mainz II let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Mainz II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS Mainz II
3.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
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Mainz II

(Away)
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
05 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Mainz II
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