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Ergene Velimese vs Kusadasispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kurt O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between Ergene Velimese and Kusadasispor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ergene Velimese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ergene Velimese
30%
Draws
34%
Kusadasispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ergene Velimese's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Kusadasispor have produced (0.5).
  • Win probability leans Ergene Velimese's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 20%
Kusadasispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Kusadasispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Kusadasispor
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kusadasispor vs Ergene Velimese
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Ergene Velimese vs Kusadasispor
1:3
Oct 2, 2022 3. Lig Group 2
Kusadasispor vs Ergene Velimese
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurt O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kusadasispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 36 / 100
Kusadasispor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Kusadasispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kusadasispor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ergene Velimese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kusadasispor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ergene Velimese VS Kusadasispor
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor30217264:1770
2Karsiyaka30186656:2860
3Musspor301610448:2458
4Kutahyaspor30177657:3758
5Duzcespor30168640:2756
6Silifke30147951:3649
7Eskisehir Anadolu30138939:3247
8Hopaspor301091126:3039
9Tokat Bld Plevnespor307101327:3231
10Kahramanmarasspor30861628:3930
11Bulvarspor30791435:5830
12Kirsehir SK30781526:4829
13Bornova 1877306101436:5328
1423 Elazig FK305111418:3126
15Kusadasispor30732025:5124
16Ergene Velimese30651917:5023