Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024

Ergene Velimese

1 - 1

Sapanca Genclikspor

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Ozerli A.

51'

Ureyen G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024 game between Ergene Velimese and Sapanca Genclikspor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ergene Velimese

33%

Draws

27%

Sapanca Genclikspor

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ergene Velimese carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Ergene Velimese taking it.
Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 16%

Sapanca Genclikspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ergene Velimese	Sapanca Genclikspor
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	21	18
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 2

Ergene Velimese vs Sapanca Genclikspor

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Nov 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 2

Sapanca Genclikspor vs Ergene Velimese

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozerli A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Sapanca Genclikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ureyen G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 39 / 100

Sapanca Genclikspor 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ergene Velimese Sapanca Genclikspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sapanca Genclikspor conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ergene Velimese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Sapanca Genclikspor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ergene Velimese VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	28	17	9	2	54:19	60
2	Elazigspor	28	16	10	2	41:20	58
3	Karsiyaka	28	17	4	7	57:33	55
4	Turgutlu	28	14	5	9	42:35	47
5	Soke 1970	28	13	8	7	41:38	47
6	Eskisehir Anadolu	28	11	6	11	34:33	39
7	Silifke	28	10	4	14	29:39	34
8	Pazarspor	28	9	6	13	28:33	33
9	Amasyaspor	28	8	9	11	26:32	33
10	Bulvarspor	28	8	9	11	26:31	33
11	Ergene Velimese	28	8	8	12	29:35	32
12	Kelkit Bld.	28	8	7	13	28:35	31
13	Hacettepe 1945	28	8	5	15	25:32	29
14	Eynesil	28	8	3	17	23:49	24
15	Sapanca Genclikspor	28	6	5	17	30:49	20