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Erith & Belvedere vs Margate

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Smith H.
(Penalty)
34' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Erith & Belvedere and Margate finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erith & Belvedere
15%
Draws
85%
Margate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Margate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Margate come out ahead of Erith & Belvedere on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Erith & Belvedere Clean Sheet 10%
Margate Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erith & Belvedere Margate
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Erith & Belvedere vs Margate
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erith & Belvedere 30 / 100
Margate 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erith & Belvedere Margate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Margate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Margate conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Erith & Belvedere found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Margate's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erith & Belvedere VS Margate
0.33 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erith & Belvedere

(Home)
10 Jul
Erith & Belvedere
1 : 4
Whitstable Town
02 Jul
Chatham
3 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
21 Jul
Welling
5 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
09 Sept
South Park
2 : 1
Erith & Belvedere
06 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Erith & Belvedere
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Margate

(Away)
05 Sept
Margate
1 : 3
Snodland
28 Aug
Ascot United
3 : 0
Margate
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
06 Sept
Westfield
4 : 2
Margate
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