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Eritrea vs Sudan

World World

Friendly International 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sudan in this Friendly International 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sudan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eritrea
6%
Draws
4%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eritrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sudan have won more games recently than Eritrea.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Eritrea taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sudan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%
Sudan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eritrea Sudan
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.20 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Sudan
0:1
Nov 29, 2013 CECAFA Championship
Sudan vs Eritrea
3:0
Dec 3, 2007 Friendly International
Sudan vs Eritrea
1:0
Nov 30, 2007 Friendly International
Sudan vs Eritrea
1:0
May 25, 2007 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Sudan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eritrea 85 / 100
Sudan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eritrea Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Eritrea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sudan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eritrea VS Sudan
0.8 Goals Scored 0.25
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
40% Over 1.5 38%
20% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
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Sudan

(Away)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
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