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Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erkenschwick host ASC 09 Dortmund in the Oberliga Westfalen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Erkenschwick at 1.3 goals for, 1.3 against; ASC 09 Dortmund at 2.33 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Erkenschwick slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward ASC 09 Dortmund. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Erkenschwick
20%
Draws
40%
ASC 09 Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund have won more games recently than Erkenschwick.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 10%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erkenschwick ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.3 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Erkenschwick
2:4
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:5
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Erkenschwick
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erkenschwick 34 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erkenschwick ASC 09 Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Erkenschwick found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

ASC 09 Dortmund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Erkenschwick has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erkenschwick VS ASC 09 Dortmund
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Erkenschwick

(Home)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
Page 1 of 6

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Away)
10 Oct
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 2
Gievenbeck
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)