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Erkenschwick vs Verl II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erkenschwick in this Oberliga Westfalen matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erkenschwick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Erkenschwick
30%
Draws
23%
Verl II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erkenschwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Verl II haven't matched Erkenschwick's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Erkenschwick taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 14%
Verl II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erkenschwick Verl II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Verl II
4:1
Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Verl II vs Erkenschwick
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Verl II
2:2
Mar 19, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Verl II vs Erkenschwick
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Verl II
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erkenschwick 57 / 100
Verl II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erkenschwick Verl II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erkenschwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erkenschwick's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Verl II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Erkenschwick stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erkenschwick VS Verl II
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erkenschwick

(Home)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
Page 1 of 6

Verl II

(Away)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
20 Sept
TUS Ennepetal
2 : 2
Verl II
13 Sept
Verl II
1 : 1
TuS Hordel
04 Sept
Lippstadt
5 : 2
Verl II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 9 6 1 2 19:12 19
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)