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Erlensee vs Aschaffenburg

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Camdzic A.
38' Event
Nene D.
47' Event
Sitter L.

AI Match Summary

Aschaffenburg in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Erlensee
15%
Draws
59%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aschaffenburg lately — more wins on the board than Erlensee.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Aschaffenburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 20%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Erlensee vs Aschaffenburg
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erlensee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Aschaffenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Camdzic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nene D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 10 / 100
Aschaffenburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Erlensee's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aschaffenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Erlensee went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aschaffenburg
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlensee

(Home)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
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Aschaffenburg

(Away)
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
21 Aug
Cham
4 : 1
Aschaffenburg
18 Aug
Aschaffenburg
1 : 1
Bamberg
14 Aug
Neudrossenfeld
3 : 0
Aschaffenburg
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