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Erlensee vs Mainz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Derstroff J.
18' Event
Derstroff J.
20' Event
Herdt N.

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erlensee
15%
Draws
42%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlensee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Erlensee haven't matched Mainz II's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Erlensee taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee Mainz II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Erlensee vs Mainz II
4:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erlensee Compare

Top Goalscorer Herdt N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wagner S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Derstroff J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muller M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 36 / 100
Mainz II 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Erlensee's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mainz II conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Mainz II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mainz II
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlensee

(Home)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
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Mainz II

(Away)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
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