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Erlensee vs Turk Gucu Friedberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Schorr P.
30' Event
Yikilmaz K.
34' Event
Michel N.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 game between Erlensee and Turk Gucu Friedberg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turk Gucu Friedberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erlensee
6%
Draws
90%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turk Gucu Friedberg come out ahead of Erlensee on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Turk Gucu Friedberg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 17%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee Turk Gucu Friedberg
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
0:3
Oct 17, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Erlensee
2:2
Sep 6, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:4
Aug 2, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Erlensee
2:2
Jun 3, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erlensee Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Turk Gucu Friedberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schorr P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yikilmaz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 10 / 100
Turk Gucu Friedberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee Turk Gucu Friedberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Erlensee scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Turk Gucu Friedberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Erlensee stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turk Gucu Friedberg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Giessen34227569:2873
2Turk Gucu Friedberg34235693:4271
3Baunatal34207770:4367
4Alzenau34196972:4063
5Hanauer SC341931270:5557
6Eddersheim341671156:4555
7Hunfelder341661267:6254
8Fernwald341551464:5550
9Weidenhausen341481262:5650
10RW Walldorf341371462:6346
11Waldgirmes341171648:7640
12Stadtallendorf341091553:5439
13Hanau34971856:7834
14VfB Marburg34971846:7134
15SV Steinbach347121546:6933
16Viktoria Griesheim34891739:7133
17Erlensee34762142:7127
18TUS Dietkirchen34662249:8524