Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024

Afantou

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ermionidas-Ermis play Afantou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ermionidas-Ermis averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Afantou averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ermionidas-Ermis won 1, Afantou won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ermionidas-Ermis and 1.00 for Afantou. This points to a Afantou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ermionidas-Ermis

40%

Draws

30%

Afantou

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Afantou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Ermionidas-Ermis picked up more points recently compared to Afantou.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Ermionidas-Ermis Clean Sheet 23%

Afantou Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ermionidas-Ermis	Afantou
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	10
Draws	7	8
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	0.67	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Ermionidas-Ermis vs Afantou

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Afantou vs Ermionidas-Ermis

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermionidas-Ermis 32 / 100

Afantou 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ermionidas-Ermis Afantou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Afantou or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ermionidas-Ermis attacking → ← attacking Afantou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermionidas-Ermis scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Afantou let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ermionidas-Ermis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afantou lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panargiakos	34	23	7	4	49:13	76
2	Korinthos	34	21	7	6	58:29	70
3	Thyella Diastavroseos	34	19	8	7	52:28	65
4	Ellas Syrou	34	20	3	11	66:30	63
5	Kyanos Astir Varis	34	18	8	8	55:22	62
6	Marko	34	16	8	10	42:36	56
7	Ialisos	34	16	7	11	40:34	55
8	Rodos	34	15	10	9	51:29	55
9	Panegialios FC	34	17	4	13	56:43	55
10	Mykonos	34	15	6	13	51:35	51
11	Afantou	34	13	11	10	42:36	50
12	PAO Varda	34	13	4	17	33:49	43
13	Pyliou	34	10	7	17	35:48	37
14	Panelefsiniakos F.C.	34	11	2	21	36:66	35
15	Vyzas FC	34	8	9	17	32:64	33
16	Filiatron	34	5	11	18	35:54	23
17	Ermionidas-Ermis	34	5	7	22	24:58	22
18	Mesolongi AE	34	0	3	31	16:99	3