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Ermis Amyntaio vs Sellana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 17, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis Amyntaio host Sellana in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Sellana are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Ermis Amyntaio at 0.76 goals for, 2.97 against; Sellana at 1.07 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Sellana slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 2.63, favoring Sellana. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ermis Amyntaio
20%
Draws
40%
Sellana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sellana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sellana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ermis Amyntaio Clean Sheet 10%
Sellana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Amyntaio Sellana
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ermis Amyntaio vs Sellana
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Ermis Amyntaio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Amyntaio 10 / 100
Sellana 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Amyntaio Sellana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sellana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sellana let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Sellana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ermis Amyntaio's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Amyntaio VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Amyntaio

(Home)
04 May
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 3
Amvrakikos Vonitsa
30 Apr
O. Volos
4 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
27 Apr
Ermis Amyntaio
0 : 3
Philippos Alexandreia
06 Apr
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
30 Mar
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 0
Svoronos FC
Page 1 of 7

Sellana

(Away)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)