Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ermis Meligous

0 - 1

Loutraki FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 game between Ermis Meligous and Loutraki FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loutraki FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ermis Meligous

39%

Draws

30%

Loutraki FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Loutraki FC come out ahead of Ermis Meligous on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Loutraki FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 19%

Loutraki FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ermis Meligous	Loutraki FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	22	12
Goals Scored	0.5	0.25
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Loutraki FC vs Ermis Meligous

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ermis Meligous vs Loutraki FC

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Loutraki FC vs Ermis Meligous

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 32 / 100

Loutraki FC 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ermis Meligous Loutraki FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loutraki FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Ermis Meligous scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Ermis Meligous stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Loutraki FC

0.5 Goals Scored 0.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pyrgos	22	18	2	2	45:7	56
2	Zakynthos	22	16	4	2	47:11	52
3	Panegialios FC	22	15	5	2	40:15	50
4	Miltiadis	22	9	6	7	32:23	33
5	Korinthos	22	8	8	6	35:31	32
6	Pelopas Kiatou	22	9	2	11	20:32	29
7	Panthouriakos	22	7	7	8	29:25	28
8	Loutraki FC	22	8	4	10	18:18	28
9	Panachaiki	22	7	6	9	29:26	27
10	Thyella Patras	22	5	6	11	20:30	21
11	Ermis Meligous	22	2	4	16	13:40	10
12	Pangytheatikos	22	0	2	20	8:78	2