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Ermis Meligous vs Pyrgos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Ermis Meligous Logo

Ermis Meligous

0 - 2
FT
Pyrgos Logo

Pyrgos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pyrgos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ermis Meligous
15%
Draws
59%
Pyrgos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pyrgos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Pyrgos have won more games recently than Ermis Meligous.
  • Win probability leans Ermis Meligous's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Meligous Pyrgos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Pyrgos
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Ermis Meligous
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 47 / 100
Pyrgos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Meligous Pyrgos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ermis Meligous's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pyrgos has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ermis Meligous remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Pyrgos
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Meligous

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

Pyrgos

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Pyrgos
0 : 3
Zakynthos
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Pyrgos
0 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)