Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ermis vs ASIL Lysi

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fasouliotis M.
90' Event
Kapartis C.

AI Match Summary

ASIL Lysi in this Division 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASIL Lysi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ermis
15%
Draws
37%
ASIL Lysi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASIL Lysi lately — more wins on the board than Ermis.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Ermis taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ermis Clean Sheet 20%
ASIL Lysi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis ASIL Lysi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs ASIL Lysi
0:2
Jan 29, 2022 Division 2
Ermis vs ASIL Lysi
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Ermis
0:1
Jul 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Ermis vs ASIL Lysi
1:1
Mar 21, 2020 Division 2
Ermis vs ASIL Lysi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

ASIL Lysi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasouliotis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapartis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 58 / 100
ASIL Lysi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis ASIL Lysi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASIL Lysi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ermis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ermis found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS ASIL Lysi
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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ASIL Lysi

(Away)
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Nea Salamis
4 : 1
ASIL Lysi
17 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 1
M.E.A.P. Nisou
04 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 6
Karmiotissa
21 Mar
Ayia Napa
5 : 5
ASIL Lysi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paralimni 15 10 3 2 22:11 33
2 Ol. Nicosia 15 9 3 3 20:10 30
3 Omonia Aradippou 15 8 5 2 20:10 29
4 Omonia 29th May 15 8 4 3 18:11 28
5 Krasava 15 7 6 2 20:11 27
6 Peyia 2014 FC 15 8 3 4 24:11 27
7 ASIL Lysi 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
8 Ayia Napa 15 6 3 6 17:19 21
9 Achyronas-Onisilos 15 4 7 4 16:14 19
10 Digenis Akritas 15 5 4 6 14:16 19
11 M.E.A.P. Nisou 15 4 3 8 11:19 15
12 PO Xylotymbou 2006 15 3 5 7 16:22 14
13 PAEEK 15 4 2 9 17:24 14
14 Akritas Chloraka 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
15 ENAD 15 3 3 9 14:21 12
16 Ermis 15 2 1 12 17:42 7
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)