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Stadium Background

Ermis vs Digenis Akritas

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Antoniou M.
47' Event
Chatzidimitriou S.
68' Event
Neofytou A.

AI Match Summary

Digenis Akritas in this Division 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Digenis Akritas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ermis
20%
Draws
29%
Digenis Akritas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Digenis Akritas have won more games recently than Ermis.
  • Ermis are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ermis Clean Sheet 16%
Digenis Akritas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Digenis Akritas
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs Digenis Akritas
0:3
Feb 5, 2024 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
2:1
Dec 7, 2019 Division 2
Ermis vs Digenis Akritas
4:2
Oct 6, 2019 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Digenis Akritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniou M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatzidimitriou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 57 / 100
Digenis Akritas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Digenis Akritas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Digenis Akritas conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ermis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ermis scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS Digenis Akritas
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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Digenis Akritas

(Away)
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 0
Digenis Akritas
25 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 1
AEZ Zakakiou
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1
Digenis Akritas
04 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
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