Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023

Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erndtebruck play Finnentrop/Bamenohl in the Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erndtebruck averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Finnentrop/Bamenohl averaged 1.35 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Erndtebruck won 3, Finnentrop/Bamenohl won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 3, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Erndtebruck and 1.05 for Finnentrop/Bamenohl. This points to a Erndtebruck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Erndtebruck

20%

Draws

30%

Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erndtebruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Erndtebruck picked up more points recently compared to Finnentrop/Bamenohl.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Erndtebruck Clean Sheet 22%

Finnentrop/Bamenohl Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erndtebruck	Finnentrop/Bamenohl
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	6
Draws	6	6
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.43	1.35
Goals Conceded	2.33	2.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly

Erndtebruck vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Feb 12, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen

Erndtebruck vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Aug 21, 2022 Oberliga Westfalen

Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Erndtebruck

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Nov 28, 2021 Oberliga Westfalen

Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Erndtebruck

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

3:4

May 2, 2021 Oberliga Westfalen

Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Erndtebruck

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erndtebruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Inada C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Schardt L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Finnentrop/Bamenohl Compare

Top Goalscorer Hennes C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stange M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erndtebruck 49 / 100

Finnentrop/Bamenohl 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erndtebruck Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Erndtebruck or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erndtebruck attacking → ← attacking Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erndtebruck scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Finnentrop/Bamenohl let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Erndtebruck went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Finnentrop/Bamenohl lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gutersloh	34	23	3	8	67:38	72
2	Preussen Munster 2	34	18	11	5	82:46	65
3	Paderborn II	34	18	10	6	53:23	64
4	Lotte	34	18	6	10	64:43	60
5	TUS Bovinghausen	34	15	8	11	73:59	53
6	Westfalia Rhynern	34	14	10	10	52:48	52
7	ASC 09 Dortmund	34	14	7	13	51:55	49
8	Clarholz	34	13	9	12	53:48	48
9	Finnentrop/Bamenohl	34	14	5	15	66:56	47
10	Eintracht Rheine	34	13	7	14	52:60	46
11	Vreden	34	11	10	13	59:67	43
12	Schermbeck 2020	34	10	9	15	43:56	39
13	Gievenbeck	34	9	9	16	48:50	36
14	Siegen	34	9	8	17	50:54	35
15	Sprockhovel	34	8	11	15	48:69	35
16	TUS Ennepetal	34	9	8	17	32:59	35
17	Erndtebruck	34	9	7	18	47:85	34
18	Delbrucker	34	8	8	18	47:71	32