Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erokspor vs Kayserispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Camara M.
17' Event
Moreno D.
Assist: Saglam G.
33' Event
Moreno D.
Assist: Camara M.

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Erokspor
30%
Draws
51%
Kayserispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Erokspor have won more games recently than Kayserispor.
  • Win probability leans Kayserispor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 15%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Kayserispor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Kayserispor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seferi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 10 / 100
Kayserispor 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Kayserispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erokspor found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Kayserispor let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Erokspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Kayserispor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

Kayserispor

(Away)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)