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Stadium Background

Erokspor vs Keciorengucu

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Erokspor Logo

Erokspor

1 - 0
FT
Keciorengucu Logo

Keciorengucu

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Alic E. In: Korkmaz E.
Out: Alic E.
38'
Sub
Bulut H. In: Bilgic H.
Out: Bulut H.
46' Event
Faye M.
Assist: Catakovic H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erokspor and Keciorengucu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erokspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Erokspor
35%
Draws
53%
Keciorengucu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Keciorengucu's 1.9 goals per match outpaces what Erokspor have produced (1.5).
  • Win probability leans Keciorengucu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 12%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Keciorengucu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Keciorengucu
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erokspor
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erokspor
2:2
Oct 21, 2024 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Keciorengucu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Keciorengucu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 10 / 100
Keciorengucu 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Keciorengucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keciorengucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erokspor found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Keciorengucu conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Erokspor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Keciorengucu
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
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Keciorengucu

(Away)
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Boluspor
0 : 2
Keciorengucu
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)