Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erpeldange vs Mondorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Erpeldange Logo

Erpeldange

1 - 8
FT
Mondorf Logo

Mondorf

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-8, with Mondorf advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Erpeldange
15%
Draws
64%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mondorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mondorf a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Mondorf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mondorf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erpeldange Mondorf
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 8 20
Draws 0 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.95 2
Goals Conceded 2.85 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs Mondorf
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erpeldange 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erpeldange Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erpeldange found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Mondorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Erpeldange has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erpeldange VS Mondorf
3 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erpeldange

(Home)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8
Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3
Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Mondorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2