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Erris United vs Cherry Orchard

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Cherry Orchard advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Erris United
25%
Draws
35%
Cherry Orchard
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Erris United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherry Orchard come out ahead of Erris United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cherry Orchard arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherry Orchard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Erris United Clean Sheet 10%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erris United Cherry Orchard
Matches Played 1 21
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 4 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2009 FAI Cup
Erris United vs Cherry Orchard
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erris United 29 / 100
Cherry Orchard 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erris United Cherry Orchard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erris United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erris United's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Cherry Orchard let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Difficult form: Cherry Orchard registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erris United VS Cherry Orchard
2 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erris United

(Home)
24 May
Erris United
2 : 4
Cherry Orchard

Cherry Orchard

(Away)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2