Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakhstan
Premier League Centralnyj Stadion 
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar play Kaisar Kyzylorda in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ertis Pavlodar averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Kaisar Kyzylorda averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Ertis Pavlodar won 0, Kaisar Kyzylorda won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ertis Pavlodar and 1.31 for Kaisar Kyzylorda. This points to a Ertis Pavlodar double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar picked up more points recently compared to Kaisar Kyzylorda.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Kaisar Kyzylorda let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 0.60 goals.
Ertis Pavlodar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Kaisar Kyzylorda lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28:9 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Aktobe | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhenis | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Kaspij Aktau | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 15 | Altai | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14:21 | 11 |