Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan
First League 2025 Centralnyj Stadion 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ertis Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar have won more games recently than Khan Tengri.
- Ertis Pavlodar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ertis Pavlodar have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | Khan Tengri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
Khan Tengri Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Khan Tengri has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Ertis Pavlodar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Difficult form: Khan Tengri registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |