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Ertis Pavlodar W vs Aktobe W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rees M.
Assist: Gaistenova A.
8' Event
Litvinenko A.
Assist: Zhumabaikyzy K.
10' Event
Rees M.
Assist: Litvinenko A.

AI Match Summary

Aktobe W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-12 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aktobe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ertis Pavlodar W
15%
Draws
64%
Aktobe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe W lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar W.
  • Aktobe W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Aktobe W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar W Aktobe W
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 5 28
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.11 7.74
Goals Conceded 2.39 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Aktobe W
0:12
Jul 28, 2026 League Women
Aktobe W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aktobe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rees M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Litvinenko A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
Aktobe W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar W Aktobe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 10.50 goals when they meet.

Ertis Pavlodar W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Aktobe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 23% of 31 matches.

Ertis Pavlodar W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar W VS Aktobe W
0.88 Goals Scored 6.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ertis Pavlodar W

(Home)
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Altai W
Page 1 of 4

Aktobe W

(Away)
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2
Aktobe W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
08 Sept
Aktobe W
6 : 0
Okzhetpes W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)