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Ertis Pavlodar W vs Zhenis Astana W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Zhanatayeva M.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Askarova A.
Assist: Kokkozova A.
65' Event
Sadykova L.
Assist: Talgat A.

AI Match Summary

Zhenis Astana W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ertis Pavlodar W
6%
Draws
90%
Zhenis Astana W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zhenis Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zhenis Astana W have won more games recently than Ertis Pavlodar W.
  • Model gives Zhenis Astana W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar W Zhenis Astana W
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.75 4.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 4.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Zhenis Astana W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zhenis Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Askarova A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadykova L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.44
Avg xA / game 2.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
Zhenis Astana W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar W Zhenis Astana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Zhenis Astana W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ertis Pavlodar W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar W VS Zhenis Astana W
1.75 Goals Scored 4.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ertis Pavlodar W

(Home)
20 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Okzhetpes W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3
Yelimay Semey W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar W
16 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 2
FC Astana W
Page 1 of 3

Zhenis Astana W

(Away)
20 Jul
Altai W
0 : 8
Zhenis Astana W
13 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
9 : 0
Shakhter Karagandy W
06 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 4
Zhenis Astana W
23 Jun
Zhenis Astana W
3 : 0
Tobol W
15 Jun
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 10
Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W10100088:130
2Tomiris-Turan W1080225:924
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W1061316:1619
4Atyrau W1052318:2017
5Kairat W941421:1713
6Ordabasy W1033410:2212
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Kaspij Aktau W90270:422
9Ulytau W100192:401
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W121200120:236
2Zhenis Astana W1191157:1828
3Kyzylzhar W1162334:1420
4Yelimay Semey W1261528:2419
5FC Astana W1151519:2616
6Ertis Pavlodar W1143416:1515
7Tobol W1150613:3915
8Shakhter Karagandy W113177:6110
9Okzhetpes W1110108:553
10Altai W1101105:531
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)