Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Umejiego M. A.
21' Event
Hodo E.
23' Event
Trifoni X.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 game between Erzeni Shijak and Apolonia Fier finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Erzeni Shijak
11%
Draws
80%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 28%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:5
Feb 1, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
5:0
Jan 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Umejiego M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trifoni X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 14 / 100
Apolonia Fier 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Apolonia Fier registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Erzeni Shijak found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Apolonia Fier
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vora33244555:2476
2Flamurtari33236462:2175
3Besa Kavaje33228354:1874
4Burreli331610736:2258
5Pogradeci331471233:3549
6Apolonia Fier3311121045:3245
7Lushnja331351539:4144
8Korabi Peshkopi331251635:4841
9Kastrioti331151735:4938
10Kukesi33842129:5628
11KF Valbona33372329:5916
12Erzeni Shijak33252616:6311
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)