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Erzeni Shijak vs KF Valbona Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Erzeni Shijak Logo

Erzeni Shijak

2 - 1
FT
KF Valbona Logo

KF Valbona

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Duraku A.
81' Event
Yori E.
90' Event
Krasniqi J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erzeni Shijak in this Albanian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erzeni Shijak
15%
Draws
85%
KF Valbona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KF Valbona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erzeni Shijak lately — more wins on the board than KF Valbona.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on KF Valbona taking it.
  • Erzeni Shijak have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Erzeni Shijak, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 12%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak KF Valbona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs KF Valbona
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs KF Valbona
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Albanian Cup
Erzeni Shijak vs KF Valbona
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Erzeni Shijak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Top Goalscorer Duraku A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yori E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KF Valbona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 19 / 100
KF Valbona 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak KF Valbona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Valbona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Valbona has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: KF Valbona registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Erzeni Shijak's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS KF Valbona
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

KF Valbona

(Away)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AF Elbasani 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
Tomori Berat 1
Iliria Kruja 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 15
KS Devolli 1
Besa Kavaje 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak 1
Kucove 0
KF Valbona 1
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Skenderbeu Korca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Gramshi 1
Lushnja 0
KF Oriku 1
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 5
Adriatiku 1
Luzi 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 5
Koplik 2
Kastrioti 3
Butrinti Sarande 1
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi 6
Albanet 0
Pogradeci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Kelcyra 0
Burreli 4
Sopoti Librazhd 0
1/16-finals
Teuta -
TBD -
AF Elbasani 3
Iliria Kruja 1
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 0
Besa Kavaje 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak 2
KF Valbona 1
Skenderbeu Korca -
TBD -
Vora 3
KF Oriku 1
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Luzi 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Kastrioti 4
Laci -
TBD -
Kukesi 2
Pogradeci 1
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Burreli 1
1/8-finals
Teuta 0
AF Elbasani 2
Vllaznia 1
Besa Kavaje 0
Dinamo City 6
Erzeni Shijak 1
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Vora 0
KF Tirana 1
Bylis 2
KF Egnatia 4
Kastrioti 0
Laci 3
Kukesi 1
Partizani 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Quarter-finals
AF Elbasani 3
Vllaznia 4
Dinamo City 4
Skenderbeu Korca 2
Bylis 3
KF Egnatia 5
Laci 1
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 3
Dinamo City 4
KF Egnatia 2
Partizani 1
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2