Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
Turkey
Turkish Cup Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
3'
3'
Yener H.
Assist: Keser B.
10'
10'
Mintemur E.
35'
35'
Yilmaz E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-2, with Erzurumspor FK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Keciorengucu on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Erzurumspor FK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Erzurumspor FK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Erzurumspor FK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Keciorengucu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
4:2
Feb 18, 2026 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erzurumspor FK
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Yener H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sylla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Keciorengucu Compare
Top Goalscorer Celik M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 31 / 100
Keciorengucu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Keciorengucu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erzurumspor FK scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Erzurumspor FK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Keciorengucu conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Keciorengucu
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1 Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1 Bandirmaspor
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0 Boluspor
04 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 1 Igdir FK
Page 1 of 3
Keciorengucu
(Away) 07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1 Manisa FK
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0 Serik Spor
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
08 Apr
Igdir FK
0 : 1 Keciorengucu
15 Mar
Sariyer
3 : 1 Keciorengucu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
