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Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK host Galatasaray in the Super Lig. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Galatasaray have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Erzurumspor FK have conceded 0.57 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Erzurumspor FK have won 0 to Galatasaray's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2021, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.46 - 1.22) back Erzurumspor FK to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Erzurumspor FK
22%
Draws
18%
Galatasaray
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Galatasaray.
  • Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Galatasaray here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Galatasaray
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0
Oct 24, 2020 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
1:1
Sep 28, 2018 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 58 / 100
Galatasaray 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Galatasaray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erzurumspor FK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Galatasaray has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Galatasaray
1.29 Goals Scored 1.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
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Galatasaray

(Away)
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Venezia
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5
Galatasaray
17 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 0
Galatasaray
09 May
Galatasaray
4 : 2
Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trabzonspor00000:00
2Gaziantep00000:00
3Samsunspor00000:00
4Alanyaspor00000:00
5Amedspor00000:00
6Eyupspor00000:00
7Galatasaray00000:00
8Fenerbahce00000:00
9Besiktas00000:00
10Konyaspor00000:00
11Genclerbirligi00000:00
12Rizespor00000:00
13Kasimpasa00000:00
14Kocaelispor00000:00
15Basaksehir00000:00
16Goztepe00000:00
17Erzurumspor FK00000:00
18Corum FK00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)