Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sallai R.
20'
20'
Akgun Y.
Assist: Osimhen V.
45'
45'
Osimhen V.
AI Match Summary
Galatasaray in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galatasaray.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erzurumspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Galatasaray.
- Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Galatasaray here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 14%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
0:4
Feb 27, 2021 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0
Oct 24, 2020 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
1:1
Sep 28, 2018 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Galatasaray Compare
Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sallai R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 41 / 100
Galatasaray 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Galatasaray
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erzurumspor FK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Galatasaray let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Galatasaray
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
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Galatasaray
(Away) 09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1 Kasimpasa
02 Oct
Pendikspor
3 : 3 Galatasaray
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
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02 Oct
Pendikspor
3 : 3 Galatasaray
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Corum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
