Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum

Erzurumspor FK

3 - 0

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Chaadaev R.

Own Goal

43'

Rodriguez M.

59'

Sub

Fettahoglu M. In: Fernando Andrade

Out: Fettahoglu M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Erzurumspor FK

11%

Draws

Hatayspor

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Erzurumspor FK lately — more wins on the board than Hatayspor.
Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erzurumspor FK	Hatayspor
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	23	2
Draws	5	5
Losses	4	23
Goals Scored	2.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor

3:0

Oct 31, 2025 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK

0:3

Jul 18, 2022 Club Friendly

Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor

0:1

Feb 21, 2021 Super Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor

1:3

Dec 9, 2020 Super Lig

Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Crociata G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 86 / 100

Hatayspor 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erzurumspor FK Hatayspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Hatayspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Erzurumspor FK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Hatayspor

2.5 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)

17 Jul

Erzurumspor FK

0 : 0

Rizespor

02 May

Corum FK

1 : 1

Erzurumspor FK

26 Apr

Erzurumspor FK

1 : 1

Bandirmaspor

19 Apr

Bodrumspor

1 : 1

Erzurumspor FK

13 Apr

Erzurumspor FK

2 : 0

Boluspor

Page 1 of 7

Hatayspor

(Away)

01 May

Hatayspor

3 : 1

Vanspor FK

25 Apr

Serik Spor

4 : 2

Hatayspor

18 Apr

Hatayspor

1 : 1

Sakaryaspor

11 Apr

Sariyer

4 : 0

Hatayspor

07 Apr

Hatayspor

4 : 0

Adanademirspor

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League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54

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