Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
30'
30'
Chaadaev R.
Own Goal
43'
43'
Rodriguez M.
59'
59'
Sub
Fettahoglu M. In: Fernando Andrade
Out: Fettahoglu M.
AI Match Summary
Erzurumspor FK in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzurumspor FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erzurumspor FK lately — more wins on the board than Hatayspor.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 2.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor
3:0
Oct 31, 2025 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:3
Jul 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor
0:1
Feb 21, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor
1:3
Dec 9, 2020 Super Lig
Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crociata G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Hatayspor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 32 / 100
Hatayspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Hatayspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hatayspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).
Hatayspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Erzurumspor FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Hatayspor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
Page 1 of 4
Hatayspor
(Away) 27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0 Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0 Hatayspor
06 Sept
Hatayspor
0 : 2 Guzide Gebzespor
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1 Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0 Hatayspor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2 Hatayspor
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0 Hatayspor
03 Apr
Pendikspor
4 : 1 Hatayspor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
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