Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erzurumspor FK vs Igdir FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Loshaj F.
37'
Ovacikli O.
43'
Fofana M.

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Erzurumspor FK
39%
Draws
31%
Igdir FK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Igdir FK.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Igdir FK
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Igdir FK
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs Erzurumspor FK
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Igdir FK
0:0
Sep 27, 2024 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keser B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Igdir FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Loshaj F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 41 / 100
Igdir FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Igdir FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Igdir FK has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Erzurumspor FK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Igdir FK
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
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Igdir FK

(Away)
02 May
Igdir FK
3 : 3
Amedspor
26 Apr
Sivasspor
2 : 1
Igdir FK
19 Apr
Igdir FK
1 : 1
Pendikspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
08 Apr
Igdir FK
0 : 1
Keciorengucu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)