Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Jerba vs AS Agareb

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ES Jerba
20%
Draws
47%
AS Agareb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Agareb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Agareb lately — more wins on the board than ES Jerba.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on ES Jerba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 19%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Jerba AS Agareb
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs AS Agareb
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs ES Jerba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Jerba 42 / 100
AS Agareb 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Jerba AS Agareb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Agareb let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

ES Jerba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ES Jerba found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS AS Agareb
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Jerba

(Home)
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2
ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1
Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0
ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2
ES Jerba
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AS Agareb

(Away)
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0
BS Bouhajla
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)