Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JS Kairouan in this Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ES Jerba
20%
Draws
40%
JS Kairouan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JS Kairouan lately — more wins on the board than ES Jerba.
  • Model gives ES Jerba a 40% chance of winning this.
  • JS Kairouan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor JS Kairouan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 20%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Jerba JS Kairouan
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.57 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tunisia Cup
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Jerba 40 / 100
JS Kairouan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Jerba JS Kairouan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JS Kairouan let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: ES Jerba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

ES Jerba found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS JS Kairouan
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Jerba

(Home)
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2
ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1
Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0
ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2
ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6

JS Kairouan

(Away)
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1
Ben Guerdane
26 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0
JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika -
TBD -
Kalaa 1
Djelma 2
Moknine 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
TBD -
ES Fahs -
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport -
TBD -
Chebba 0
Msaken 2
Badr El Ain -
TBD -
ES Jerba 0
JS Kairouan 2
Sfax Railways 1
Ariana 0
EM Mahdia 1
AS Marsa 3
Mornag -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 2
Korba 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Hamma -
Ettadhamen -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Manouba -
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 1
Rades 1
TBD -
Nahdha Jammal -
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 0
Megrine 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Hamam-Sousse 2
Oued Ellil 2
Espoir Rogba 0
Om Laarayes -
TBD -
TBD -
Widad Sers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla -
TBD -
TBD -
Aigle Teboulba -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif 1
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasserine 1
Kerkennah 0
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
Menzel Temim -
TBD -
AS Agareb 0
Jendouba Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/32-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika 0
Djelma 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier 5
ES Fahs 0
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport 0
Msaken 1
Badr El Ain 2
JS Kairouan 5
Sfax Railways 3
AS Marsa 2
Mornag 2
Menzel Bourguiba 1
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss 2
AS Hamma 0
Ettadhamen 1
JS Manouba 2
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 2
Nahdha Jammal 0
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam 1
Megrine 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 1
Oued Ellil 0
Om Laarayes 1
Widad Sers 0
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla 3
Aigle Teboulba 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
Hammam-Lif 1
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Kasserine 6
Sportive Kebili 0
Menzel Temim 0
Jendouba Sport 6
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/16-finals
Monastir 2
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Djelma 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 0
US Tataouine 0
Club Africain 1
Olympique Beja 0
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 1
Sfax Railways 0
Mornag 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Khniss 0
JS Manouba 1
Stade Tunisien 1
Sidi Bouzid 0
Ben Guerdane 1
CA Bizertin 0
Zriba-Hammam 0
CS Sfaxien 5
Gafsa 2
Hamam-Sousse 1
Om Laarayes 1
Soliman 2
Bembla 2
Hammam-Lif 4
Esperance Tunis 6
Kasserine 0
Jendouba Sport 0
AS Gabes 1
Metlaoui 0
Zarzis 2
1/8-finals
Monastir 5
Djelma 0
Club Africain 2
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 0
Etoile Sahel 1
JS Manouba 0
Stade Tunisien 2
Ben Guerdane 1
CS Sfaxien 0
Gafsa 1
Soliman 0
Hammam-Lif 0
Esperance Tunis 4
AS Gabes 0
Zarzis 2
Quarter-finals
Monastir 3
Club Africain 0
Etoile Sahel 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 3
Gafsa 2
Esperance Tunis 3
Zarzis 1
Semi-finals
Monastir 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Final
Stade Tunisien 0
Esperance Tunis 1