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ES Setif vs Constantine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Chikhi A.
6'
Sub
Hamidi K. In: Omfia M.
Out: Hamidi K.
14'
L'Ghoul N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between ES Setif and Constantine finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Setif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
ES Setif
20%
Draws
30%
Constantine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Constantine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ES Setif a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%
Constantine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif Constantine
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
5:1
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Algeria Cup
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
2:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchaa Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benayad R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikhi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 50 / 100
Constantine 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif Constantine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Setif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ES Setif scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

ES Setif has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Constantine registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS Constantine
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
24 Oct
ES Setif
1 : 2
CR Temouchent
14 Oct
ES Setif
1 : 1
Kabylie
08 Oct
Oran
0 : 0
ES Setif
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

Constantine

(Away)
23 Oct
Olympique Akbou
3 : 0
Constantine
17 Oct
Constantine
2 : 4
JS El Biar
12 Oct
Khenchela
2 : 0
Constantine
07 Oct
Constantine
4 : 0
Biskra
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oran 6 4 2 0 5:0 14
2 CR Belouizdad 6 4 2 0 11:7 14
3 Kabylie 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
4 Rouisset 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
5 USM Alger 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Olympique Akbou 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 JS El Biar 7 2 2 3 12:11 8
8 CR Temouchent 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 MC Alger 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
10 ES Ben Aknoun 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
11 Constantine 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
12 ES Setif 6 1 2 3 7:6 5
13 Khenchela 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
14 ASO Chlef 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Saoura 6 0 3 3 0:6 3
16 Biskra 6 0 2 4 3:12 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)