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Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Tjornelund P.
90' Event
Kruse M.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Esbjerg
11%
Draws
9%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Esbjerg have won more games recently than Aarhus Fremad.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
1:1
May 18, 2024 2nd Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 2nd Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjornelund P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kruse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 75 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Aarhus Fremad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esbjerg scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Aarhus Fremad conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Esbjerg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Aarhus Fremad
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%