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Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Tjornelund P.
90' Event
Kruse M.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Esbjerg
30%
Draws
47%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad have won more games recently than Esbjerg.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 15%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
1:1
May 18, 2024 2nd Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 2nd Division
Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjornelund P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kruse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 39 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esbjerg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Aarhus Fremad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Esbjerg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Aarhus Fremad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
19 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Esbjerg
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
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