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Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Hillerod

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Strand S.
34'
Sub
Arndal T. In: Corlu R.
Out: Arndal T.
46'
Sub
Jalaei S. In: Sulemana H.
Out: Jalaei S.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Esbjerg and Hillerod finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Esbjerg
28%
Draws
22%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esbjerg come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esbjerg a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 68%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Hillerod
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 59 / 100
Hillerod 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Hillerod
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
27 Jun
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

Hillerod

(Away)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
31 May
Hillerod
2 : 1
Hvidovre IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyngby32186869:3660
2Horsens32159842:2754
3Esbjerg321571045:4352
4Hillerod321311842:4350
5Hvidovre IF321113843:3946
6Kolding IF321081437:4038
Promotion - Superliga (Main)