Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hemelingen in this Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemelingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
ESC Geestemunde
20%
Draws
48%
Hemelingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hemelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hemelingen lately — more wins on the board than ESC Geestemunde.
  • Model gives Hemelingen a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Hemelingen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
Hemelingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Hemelingen
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 20
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.97 3.41
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen
2:6
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
4:1
Dec 14, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
4:1
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 10 / 100
Hemelingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Hemelingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemelingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

ESC Geestemunde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hemelingen has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

ESC Geestemunde VS Hemelingen
2.25 Goals Scored 5.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

ESC Geestemunde

(Home)
12 Aug
Vatan Bremen
3 : 3
ESC Geestemunde
09 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
1 : 7
Blumenthaler
15 May
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 4
Union 60 Bremen
10 May
Eiche Horn
2 : 3
ESC Geestemunde
05 May
ESC Geestemunde
2 : 1
Oberneuland
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Hemelingen

(Away)
12 Aug
Hemelingen
2 : 0
Leher
08 Aug
Brinkumer
0 : 4
Hemelingen
19 Jul
Hildesheim
2 : 1
Hemelingen
15 May
Hemelingen
7 : 2
Vatan Bremen
09 May
Union 60 Bremen
0 : 4
Hemelingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)