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Esch vs Bettembourg

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bettembourg in this Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Esch
15%
Draws
51%
Bettembourg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bettembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bettembourg lately — more wins on the board than Esch.
  • Model gives Bettembourg a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Bettembourg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bettembourg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%
Bettembourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esch Bettembourg
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Esch vs Bettembourg
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esch 10 / 100
Bettembourg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esch Bettembourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bettembourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bettembourg conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Esch found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Esch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esch VS Bettembourg
0 Goals Scored 1.13
8 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esch

(Home)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 7

Bettembourg

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Junglinster
1 : 2
Bettembourg
14 Jul
Hesperange
0 : 2
Bettembourg
09 Nov
US Feulen
2 : 1
Bettembourg
21 Sept
Jeunesse Junglinster
2 : 6
Bettembourg
29 May
Bettembourg
0 : 1
Bissen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Diekirch 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 2
FC Rodange 91 1
CS Sanem 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Jeunesse Esch 14
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 0
Wiltz 5
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Mamer 2
Koeppchen 1
Hostert 2
Echternach 3
Bissen 2
Mertzig 0
Mondorf 4
Cebra 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
UNA Strassen 8
US Feulen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Berdenia Berbourg 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Jeunesse Canach 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
FF Norden 1
Grevenmacher 4
Racing Troisvierges 0
Differdange 12
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Hesperange 9
Clemency 1
Rumelange 4
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Schieren 3
AS Wincrange 0
Progres Niedercorn 6
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
Kaerjeng 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Ettelbruck 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 2
Esch 1
Bettembourg 7
FC Munsbach 1
Dudelange 5
Steinfort 0
Mondercange 8
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 3
FC Schengen 3
Schifflange 2
Kehlen 0
Fola 6
1/16-finals
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Wiltz 1
FC Mamer 2
Hostert 5
Echternach 0
Mondorf 7
Cebra 1
UNA Strassen 6
US Feulen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 2
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hesperange 5
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Progres Niedercorn 1
Kaerjeng 0
Ettelbruck 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Bettembourg 1
Dudelange 4
Mondercange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
FC Schengen 1
Fola 3
1/8-finals
Luxembourg City 0
FC Marisca Mersch 6
Wiltz 4
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
UNA Strassen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Differdange 1
Hesperange 0
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Union Titus Petange 2
Dudelange 3
Victoria Rosport 2
Fola 0
Quarter-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Wiltz 1
Mondorf 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Differdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Dudelange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Semi-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Mondorf 1
Differdange 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Final
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Differdange 4