Sport Picks
Esch vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-9, with Progres Niedercorn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Esch haven't matched Progres Niedercorn's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Progres Niedercorn's way, sitting at 90%.
- Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Progres Niedercorn have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esch | Progres Niedercorn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.8 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.29 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
3:9
Mar 11, 2018 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Esch
3:1
Sep 10, 2017 BGL Ligue
Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esch 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esch Progres Niedercorn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.67 goals.
Esch scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Progres Niedercorn has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Esch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Esch VS Progres Niedercorn
0 Goals Scored 1
8 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Esch
(Home) 19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8 UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7 Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9 Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2 Esch
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8 UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7 Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9 Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
08 Dec
Esch
0 : 1 Differdange
Page 1 of 3
Progres Niedercorn
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4 Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
US Rambrouch 1
Kaerjeng 3
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Wiltz 4
FC Schengen 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 0
Hostert 4
Koeppchen 0
Rumelange 1
Miniere Lasauvage 3
Mondercange 8
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Lorentzweiler 0
Fola 7
CS Sanem 0
Esch 2
The Belval Belvaux 0
Jeunesse Esch 3
Cebra 2
Progres Niedercorn 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Hesperange 11
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Mondorf 9
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Oberkorn 0
Dudelange 4
Avenir Beggen 2
UNA Strassen 5
FC Orania Vianden 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Victoria Rosport 6
Union Tetange 4
Union Titus Petange 5
AS Wincrange 0
Bettembourg 2
Grevenmacher 0
FC Mamer 2
Kehlen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Union Remich/Bous 0
Ettelbruck 11
Syra Mensdorf 1
Schifflange 4
Diekirch 0
Luxembourg City 4
FC Munsbach 1
Jeunesse Canach 3
Alliance Aischdall 1
Bissen 3
FC Residence Walferdange 0
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Sporting Bertrange 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
US Boevange/Attert 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Kaerjeng 3
Wiltz 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Hostert 0
Rumelange 0
Mondercange 5
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Fola 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Hesperange 1
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Mondorf 4
Alisontia Steinsel 2
Dudelange 6
UNA Strassen 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Bettembourg 1
FC Mamer 0
Kehlen 0
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 3
Luxembourg City 0
Jeunesse Canach 2
Bissen 1
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Differdange 4
1/8-finals
Kaerjeng 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
Mondercange 0
Fola 4
Esch 3
Progres Niedercorn 9
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Bettembourg 2
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 2
Jeunesse Canach 1
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Quarter-finals
Kaerjeng 0
Fola 4
Progres Niedercorn 0
Dudelange 2
Union Titus Petange 2
Ettelbruck 0
Schifflange 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Union Titus Petange 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Final
Dudelange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
