Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESMAC vs CA Vila Rica

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ESMAC
30%
Draws
23%
CA Vila Rica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ESMAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • ESMAC have won more games recently than CA Vila Rica.
  • Model gives ESMAC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 20%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC CA Vila Rica
Matches Played 13 10
Wins 2 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.92 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.85 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
ESMAC vs CA Vila Rica
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Paraense A2
CA Vila Rica vs ESMAC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC 76 / 100
CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC CA Vila Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Vila Rica has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.

ESMAC scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CA Vila Rica's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMAC VS CA Vila Rica
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC

(Home)
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
19 Jun
ESMAC
1 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 3

CA Vila Rica

(Away)
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
15 Oct
CA Vila Rica
1 : 1
Santos PA
04 Oct
CA Vila Rica
0 : 3
Venus
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)