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ESMAC vs Pedreira

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
ESMAC Logo

ESMAC

Wed, Sep 23, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Pedreira Logo

Pedreira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ESMAC host Pedreira in the Paraense A3. Pedreira go into this one as the clear favorite. ESMAC have averaged 0.92 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Pedreira's 2.33 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Pedreira slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.44) back Pedreira to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
ESMAC
20%
Draws
65%
Pedreira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pedreira have won more games recently than ESMAC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 16%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC Pedreira
Matches Played 13 12
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.92 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Paraense A3
Pedreira vs ESMAC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC 31 / 100
Pedreira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC Pedreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

ESMAC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pedreira conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.

Solid form: ESMAC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMAC VS Pedreira
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC

(Home)
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
19 Jun
ESMAC
1 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 3

Pedreira

(Away)
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
20 Oct
Paraense SC
6 : 0
Pedreira
15 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 3
Belenense
04 Oct
Pedreira
4 : 0
Paraense SC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Venus 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 ESMAC 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Paraense SC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Tesla 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
2 Sport Belem 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 CA Vila Rica 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Parauapebas 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Altamira 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)