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Esmoriz vs Boavista

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
Esmoriz Logo

Esmoriz

0 - 1
FT
Boavista Logo

Boavista

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 game between Esmoriz and Boavista finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Esmoriz
15%
Draws
42%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esmoriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Esmoriz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Esmoriz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esmoriz Boavista
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.07 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs Boavista
0:1
Jan 8, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Boavista vs Esmoriz
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esmoriz 85 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esmoriz Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Esmoriz found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Boavista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boavista
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esmoriz

(Home)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)