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Esmoriz vs FC Cesarense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cesarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Esmoriz
20%
Draws
36%
FC Cesarense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esmoriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Esmoriz have won more games recently than FC Cesarense.
  • Win probability leans Esmoriz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esmoriz FC Cesarense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs FC Cesarense
2:3
Nov 14, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Cesarense vs Esmoriz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esmoriz 76 / 100
FC Cesarense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esmoriz FC Cesarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Esmoriz scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Esmoriz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Cesarense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esmoriz

(Home)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
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FC Cesarense

(Away)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)