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ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hajnal G.
24' Event
Molnar J.
34' Event
Hajnal G.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southeast game between ESMTK Budapest and Hodmezovasarhely finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ESMTK Budapest
30%
Draws
19%
Hodmezovasarhely
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ESMTK Budapest a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 68%
Hodmezovasarhely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Hodmezovasarhely
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
2:2
May 10, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
4:0
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Hodmezovasarhely vs ESMTK Budapest
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Hodmezovasarhely vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balogh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Hodmezovasarhely Compare

Top Goalscorer Hajnal G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 95 / 100
Hodmezovasarhely 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Hodmezovasarhely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hodmezovasarhely let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

ESMTK Budapest has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Hodmezovasarhely
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
29 Aug
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
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Hodmezovasarhely

(Away)
26 Sept
Vasas II
2 : 0
Hodmezovasarhely
19 Sept
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 1
Hodmezovasarhely
05 Sept
Hodmezovasarhely
3 : 1
Sandorfalvi
30 Aug
BKV Elore
2 : 2
Hodmezovasarhely
26 Aug
Monori
4 : 1
Hodmezovasarhely
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 9 9 0 0 33:5 27
2 III. Keruleti TVE 9 8 0 1 15:3 24
3 ESMTK Budapest 9 5 3 1 23:9 18
4 Ujpest II 9 5 2 2 25:14 17
5 Szeged-Csanad GA II 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
6 Vasas II 9 4 2 3 20:11 14
7 Csepel 9 3 4 2 20:15 13
8 Monori 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
9 Szolnoki MAV 9 3 4 2 20:20 13
10 FC Dabas 9 3 1 5 12:24 10
11 Bekescsaba 1912 9 2 4 3 14:14 10
12 Honved II 9 2 2 5 17:15 8
13 Hodmezovasarhely 9 1 3 5 10:21 6
14 Sandorfalvi 9 1 1 7 6:28 4
15 BKV Elore 9 1 1 7 7:33 4
16 Szegedi 9 0 2 7 11:30 2
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)