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ESMTK Budapest vs Szegedi Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Balogh M.
51' Event
Kutsera K.
90' Event
Desnica V.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 game between ESMTK Budapest and Szegedi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ESMTK Budapest
15%
Draws
0%
Szegedi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ESMTK Budapest come out ahead of Szegedi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ESMTK Budapest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • ESMTK Budapest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 68%
Szegedi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Szegedi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Szegedi vs ESMTK Budapest
1:4
Apr 5, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Szegedi
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Szegedi vs ESMTK Budapest
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Szegedi vs ESMTK Budapest
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Szegedi
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kutsera K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Szegedi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 95 / 100
Szegedi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Szegedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Szegedi let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: ESMTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Szegedi
2.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
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Szegedi

(Away)
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
26 Sept
III. Keruleti TVE
1 : 0
Szegedi
19 Sept
Szegedi
1 : 4
Gyulai Termal
11 Sept
Sopron
6 : 3
Szegedi
06 Sept
Ujpest II
6 : 1
Szegedi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monori 30 20 7 3 63:31 67
2 ESMTK Budapest 30 21 3 6 70:24 66
3 Gyulai Termal 30 20 5 5 80:24 65
4 III. Keruleti TVE 30 18 7 5 71:38 61
5 Vasas II 30 14 11 5 65:40 53
6 Csepel 30 15 4 11 50:41 49
7 FC Dabas 30 12 6 12 47:41 42
8 Honved II 30 11 9 10 40:39 42
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 11 7 12 46:50 40
10 Hodmezovasarhely 30 10 7 13 48:56 37
11 Szegedi 30 10 5 15 46:62 35
12 BKV Elore 30 9 5 16 50:64 32
13 Szeged-Csanad GA II 30 7 8 15 37:53 29
14 Bekescsaba 1912 II 30 7 5 18 30:61 26
15 Martfui LSE 30 6 2 22 26:75 17
16 Tiszafoldvar 30 3 1 26 25:95 10
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)