Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EsPa vs Honka

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Simonov I.

AI Match Summary

Honka in this Suomen Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
EsPa
15%
Draws
53%
Honka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Honka have won more games recently than EsPa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Honka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honka, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Honka have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
EsPa Clean Sheet 10%
Honka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EsPa Honka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 3
Goals Scored 1.27 2.9
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2024 Suomen Cup
EsPa vs Honka
0:1
Aug 15, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
Honka vs EsPa
3:0
May 28, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs Honka
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EsPa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Honka Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EsPa 34 / 100
Honka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EsPa Honka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: EsPa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Honka has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: EsPa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Honka
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

EsPa

(Home)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
Page 1 of 6

Honka

(Away)
13 Sept
Ilves 2
2 : 0
Honka
06 Sept
Honka
5 : 1
HJS
02 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Honka
28 Aug
Honka
1 : 1
Pallo-Iirot
22 Aug
EBK
0 : 2
Honka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Millbrook 1
NJS III 5
Lahti/69 3
EIF Academy 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 2
KPV Kokkola 5
OTP 0
Jaro 3
Atlantis 2 0
NJS 3
LePa 1
EPS 3
PK-37 2
Kultsu Joutseno 3
TBD -
Lahti -
EBK 4
FC Futura 2
FC Kirkkonummi 0
Keski-Uusimaa 4
Lahden Reipas 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
Jippo 0
Haka 2
EsPa 0
Honka 1
Atletico Malmi 0
PK-35 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
LoPa 6
PoPo 0
Poxyt 2 4
Simpeleen Urheilijat 0
KTP 21
MyPa 1
Vaajakoski 2
TPS 3 2
Ilves 2 3
TBD -
Inter Turku -
Tikka 0
PuiU Helsinki 2
FC Kontu 0
GrIFK 1
TuWe 0
MuSa 10
Fish United 1
TPV 3
Sporting Kristina 1
VIFK 5
SIF 0
SJK Akatemia 6
NoPS 2 1
VaKP 3
NoPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 3
VG-62 Naantali 1
Jazz Pori 3
KaaPo 0
TPS 4
Mikkelin 2 2
KeuPa 1
ViPa 0
Mikkelin 8
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Hercules 0
OLS Oulu 4
Rollon Pojat 0
SJK 8
Tove 2
Haka 2 3
Tampere Utd 0
FC Inter Turku 2 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VPS -
Poxyt 0
VJS 2
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 8
Atlantis 6
EsPa 2 0
LAUTP 1
JaPS 2
Roi United 0
GBK Kokkola 4
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
AC Oulu 7
Polin Pallo 1
Toolon Taisto 5
POHU/KY 0
KaPa 7
Kiffen 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Gnistan/M35 1
JaPS 2 5
MaPS 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 2 0
Ekenas IF 11
NuPS 2 0
PPS/Old Stars 3
Finnkurd 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Edustus IPS 0
MiPK 1
Kyparamaki 0
PEPO 3
KaPa 1924 5
KePS 0
JBK 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
LPS 4
EPS 2 0
RiPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
1/32-finals
NJS III 2
Lahti/69 3
KPV Kokkola 4
Jaro 0
NJS 0
EPS 3
Kultsu Joutseno 0
Lahti 7
EBK 2
Keski-Uusimaa 0
Lahden Reipas 1
Haka 5
Honka 1
PK-35 2
LoPa 0
Poxyt 2 1
KTP 5
Vaajakoski 0
Ilves 2 0
Inter Turku 3
PuiU Helsinki 1
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
TPV 0
VIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 2
VaKP 2
Pallo-Iirot 4
Jazz Pori 1
TPS 2
Mikkelin 2 0
Mikkelin 3
Ilves -
TBD -
OLS Oulu 1
SJK 2
Haka 2 0
FC Inter Turku 2 4
TBD -
VPS -
VJS 3
Gnistan 0
Atlantis 3
JaPS 1
GBK Kokkola 0
AC Oulu 3
Toolon Taisto 1
KaPa 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 2
JaPS 2 0
SalPa 2
Ekenas IF 3
PPS/Old Stars 0
Tuusulan Palloseura 6
TBD -
HJK -
MiPK 1
PEPO 4
KaPa 1924 0
JBK 1
LPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
KuPS -
1/16-finals
Lahti/69 0
KPV Kokkola 4
EPS 2
Lahti 3
EBK 1
Haka 5
PK-35 4
Poxyt 2 0
KTP 1
Inter Turku 5
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
SJK Akatemia 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
TPS 1
Mikkelin 0
Ilves 2
SJK 4
FC Inter Turku 2 1
VPS 5
VJS 2
Atlantis 1
AC Oulu 5
KaPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Ekenas IF 2
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
HJK 5
PEPO 1
JBK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 3
1/8-finals
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti 1
Haka 1
PK-35 0
Inter Turku 6
GrIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 0
TPS 3
SJK 5
VPS 1
VJS 0
AC Oulu 2
Ekenas IF 1
HJK 0
PEPO 1
KuPS 5
Quarter-finals
KPV Kokkola 1
Haka 2
Inter Turku 3
TPS 2
SJK 2
AC Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 0
KuPS 2
Semi-finals
Haka 1
Inter Turku 2
SJK 2
KuPS 3
Final
Inter Turku 1
KuPS 2