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Espana vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Espana and Mercadal finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Espana
15%
Draws
59%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Espana haven't matched Mercadal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Espana's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Espana Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espana Mercadal
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Espana
1:0
Nov 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Espana vs Mercadal
4:1
Feb 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Espana vs Mercadal
3:4
Sep 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Espana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espana 49 / 100
Mercadal 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espana Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Mercadal has conceded goals in 61% of their last 41 outings.

Attacking prowess: Espana scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Espana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Espana

(Home)
19 May
Ferriolense
3 : 2
Espana
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Formentera
6 : 1
Espana
27 Apr
Espana
0 : 1
Manacor
20 Apr
Felanitx
1 : 0
Espana
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Mercadal

(Away)
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)