Sport Picks
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Vivian D. In: Alvarez Y.
Out: Vivian D.
63'
63'
Sub
Sanchez R. In: Carreras J.
Out: Sanchez R.
63'
63'
Sub
Roca A. In: Milla P.
Out: Roca A.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Espanyol and Ath Bilbao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espanyol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ath Bilbao come out ahead of Espanyol on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 16%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espanyol | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
Dec 22, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Espanyol
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Espanyol
4:1
Apr 8, 2023 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espanyol Compare
Top Goalscorer Milla P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garcia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Ath Bilbao Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espanyol 31 / 100
Ath Bilbao 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espanyol Ath Bilbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Espanyol scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Ath Bilbao conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Espanyol remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Espanyol VS Ath Bilbao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Espanyol
(Home) 18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3 Elche
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2 Espanyol
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sevilla
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 Espanyol
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3 Elche
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sevilla
22 Aug
Espanyol
1 : 2 Real Madrid
16 Aug
Espanyol
3 : 0 Levante
25 Jul
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sabadell
Page 1 of 3
Ath Bilbao
(Away) 19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
